Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.606018 0.688153 0.775958 0.876650 0.988771 1.109617 1.249562
2025-08-03 0.484587 0.599156 0.730836 0.892713 1.085641 1.307467 1.581038
2025-08-10 0.390337 0.522817 0.685702 0.899086 1.169439 1.498590 1.927435
2025-08-17 0.319576 0.461659 0.647729 0.906197 1.252363 1.695945 2.302597
2025-08-24 0.266471 0.413409 0.617526 0.916799 1.338351 1.903904 2.711350
2025-08-31 0.220485 0.366389 0.580803 0.911574 1.399853 2.083132 3.097540
2025-09-07 0.189869 0.336289 0.562898 0.929020 1.492725 2.311658 3.570019
2025-09-14 0.159351 0.300633 0.530691 0.919436 1.542652 2.480839 3.969941
2025-09-21 0.138746 0.277599 0.514563 0.931710 1.625316 2.703262 4.464163
2025-09-28 0.117090 0.248659 0.484050 0.915670 1.659637 2.852421 4.856132
2025-10-05 0.106807 0.238895 0.485041 0.952393 1.782886 3.149700 5.499962
2025-10-12 0.097726 0.229790 0.485685 0.987885 1.906284 3.455213 6.177015
2025-10-19 0.086689 0.214946 0.473895 0.999946 1.990996 3.705068 6.784646
2025-10-26 0.076093 0.199065 0.457792 1.001749 2.057015 3.927699 7.362055
2025-11-02 0.066527 0.183631 0.440300 0.998470 2.112736 4.135785 7.928053
2025-11-09 0.058678 0.170663 0.426031 0.999663 2.176424 4.361797 8.539467
2025-11-16 0.052335 0.160123 0.415449 1.006978 2.252128 4.614188 9.213222
2025-11-23 0.045779 0.147636 0.398573 0.998600 2.295143 4.808074 9.791928
2025-11-30 0.041614 0.140737 0.393685 1.015762 2.391396 5.108377 10.584515
2025-12-07 0.036394 0.129686 0.377073 1.004278 2.426194 5.291829 11.167665
2025-12-14 0.033008 0.123312 0.371169 1.016834 2.513176 5.582839 11.972516
2025-12-21 0.028684 0.113002 0.353492 0.999046 2.531786 5.737799 12.521678
2025-12-28 0.027160 0.111433 0.358909 1.038415 2.681307 6.167894 13.635973